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Russia’s 3-Day Ceasefire in Ukraine – What’s Really Going On?

Russia’s 3-Day Ceasefire in Ukraine – What’s Really Going On?



In a move that has drawn both cautious interest and skepticism, Russian President Vladimir Putin announced a unilateral 72-hour ceasefire in Ukraine from May 8 to May 10, 2025. The pause in hostilities, according to the Kremlin, is meant to mark Victory Day—an important historical commemoration in Russia celebrating the Soviet Union’s defeat of Nazi Germany during World War II. While Russia claims the proposal is a humanitarian gesture, Ukraine and its allies are deeply skeptical, viewing it as a strategic maneuver lacking sincerity.


Background and Timing

The ceasefire coincides with May 9, Victory Day—a significant date rooted in Russian national pride and tradition. Traditionally, this day includes military parades, public displays of patriotism, and remembrance of the sacrifices of World War II veterans. Since the start of the full-scale invasion in February 2022, Russia has repeatedly used symbolic dates to frame its military actions or to justify operations under the guise of historical continuity and nationalism.


In recent years, Ukraine has begun observing May 8 as Victory in Europe Day (VE Day), aligning with Western traditions to commemorate the end of World War II. This change reflects a broader cultural and political realignment toward European institutions and away from Russian influence. Thus, the timing of Putin’s ceasefire proposal is not merely ceremonial but also politically charged.


Ukrainian Response and Criticism

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy swiftly rejected the proposed ceasefire as insufficient and disingenuous. According to Zelenskyy, such a short-term truce does nothing to change the strategic realities on the ground or relieve the suffering of civilians caught in the crossfire. Instead, he suggested a more meaningful 30-day ceasefire, stressing that a durable and comprehensive cessation of hostilities would better serve the interests of peace and humanitarian relief.


Zelenskyy also pointed out that Russia has a history of violating temporary truces, citing examples such as failed ceasefires during previous religious and commemorative holidays. According to Kyiv, Moscow’s announcement could be a smokescreen for repositioning troops, resupplying units, or conducting covert operations under the cover of a “humanitarian” pause.


Reactions from the International Community

The international response to the announcement has been measured. U.S. President Donald Trump, who has actively sought to mediate between the two countries, described the proposal as “a promising gesture” but emphasized the need for a longer-term solution. He reiterated his call for a negotiated settlement and encouraged both sides to return to the table for serious peace talks.


European leaders have been more cautious. French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Annalena Baerbock acknowledged the potential humanitarian benefits of a short ceasefire but voiced concern about the lack of transparency in Russia’s intentions. The European Union has warned that any truce must be independently verified and monitored to prevent violations.


The United Nations, through its special envoy to Ukraine, also expressed tentative support for the idea but emphasized that temporary halts to violence should be part of a broader framework for de-escalation. Without a permanent agreement, short pauses can sometimes exacerbate the conflict by offering one side a tactical advantage.


Military Situation and Strategic Implications

On the ground, the war remains active and volatile, especially in contested regions like Donetsk, Kharkiv, and Zaporizhzhia. Over the past several months, Ukraine has regained some territory using advanced Western-supplied weaponry, including long-range missile systems and enhanced air defenses. Russia, meanwhile, has focused on entrenching its forces and increasing drone and artillery attacks on infrastructure and residential areas.


Analysts argue that the ceasefire could give Russia time to regroup and strengthen its defensive lines. Satellite imagery and open-source intelligence suggest that Moscow may use the 72-hour period to rotate units, bring in new supplies, or install new surveillance equipment. This is why many in Kyiv view the proposal not as a peace overture but a military tactic disguised in diplomatic language.


Civilian Impact and Humanitarian Concerns

For ordinary civilians, a three-day respite—if genuinely honored—could offer a rare window to evacuate dangerous zones, access medical aid, or reconnect with family members. The war has displaced millions of Ukrainians, many of whom now live in temporary shelters or abroad. Humanitarian organizations like the Red Cross and Médecins Sans Frontières have welcomed any opportunity to deliver aid or provide relief services, though they share concerns about the ceasefire's reliability.


Ukrainian officials have stated that unless mechanisms are put in place to guarantee the ceasefire’s enforcement, civilians could be at even greater risk. Previous truces have been marked by confusion, misinformation, and resumed attacks mere hours after being declared. Trust, they argue, is a critical missing ingredient.


Propaganda and Psychological Warfare

Putin’s proposal also fits into a broader strategy of information warfare. By appearing to offer peace—especially during a holiday honoring a shared history—Russia aims to sway public opinion both domestically and abroad. Russian state media has portrayed the ceasefire as a goodwill gesture, blaming Ukraine for rejecting peace and prolonging the war.


In response, Ukrainian media outlets and spokespersons have highlighted the duplicity of such offers, warning the public and international allies not to be fooled by symbolic acts that lack substance. The battle for hearts and minds remains a crucial front in this conflict, as both sides seek to maintain morale and international support.


Conclusion

The proposed Russian ceasefire from May 8 to May 10, 2025, encapsulates many of the complexities of the ongoing war. While presented as a humanitarian gesture, it has been met with deep skepticism by Ukraine and its Western allies. Apprehension stems from potential military exploitation, weak regulatory enforcement, and past events, leading to a guarded response.


If peace is to be achieved, experts and leaders agree that a mere three-day pause will not suffice. Meaningful dialogue, verified ceasefires, and long-term negotiations are required. Until then, symbolic gestures—no matter how well-timed—are unlikely to alter the course of a deeply entrenched and devastating conflict.

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